Yes volunteers' hard work is starting to pay off
The shift in opinion that Yes campaigners have been reporting all summer, with people across Scotland moving from No to Undecided and from Undecided to Yes, has been confirmed by the latest Panelbase opinion poll, which has given Yes to independence a late summer lead.
The figures show 44% of those certain or very likely to vote would choose Yes in the referendum - compared to 43% for No.
Our dedicated volunteers deserve enormous praise for the incredible amount of work they have put into the campaign so far. The 7 point increase in support since the last Panelbase opinion poll was conducted in July is a result of that hard work.
Polls will fluctuate between now and next year, but there is no doubt that in the long run our grassroots campaign can and will pay off. The swing towards Yes tallies with the anecdotal evidence we’ve been hearing from our volunteers who’ve been out and about on the doorsteps all across the country.
As we redouble our efforts with just over a year to go, Yes supporters can also be happy that support is growing in groups which mainstream media have said we struggle to reach. For example, among women aged 35 to 54, according to the poll we are ahead by 45% to 41%.
And key underlying messages of our campaign are being heard:
- In defining the referendum as a question of good government and arguing that decisions should be taken by the people of Scotland and their own government, we are hitting the mark. 60 per cent of those questioned trust Holyrood to make decisions in the best interests of Scotland, compared to just 16 per cent who trust Westminster;
- And on our theme of “Scotland’s got what it takes”, 52% agree that “Scotland could be a successful independent country”, compared to 37% who disagree.
There are plenty of twists and turns and lots of hard work ahead. But there is no doubt that if we redouble our efforts in the remaining twelve and a half months, an historic Yes vote can be achieved, and we can look to build the fairer and more prosperous country that we are campaigning for.
Since the launch of the Yes Scotland campaign last year, I have travelled the length and breadth of the country, from Stornoway to Stranraer, from Dunoon to Dundee. During the course of my travels, I have spoken to thousands of people at a variety of venues, including town halls, schools, community centres and miners’ welfare...
by Angus Millar - The views in this article are those of the guest author and do not necessarily represent the views of Yes Scotland.
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A total of 372,103 people have declared for Yes almost 16 months ahead of the referendum.
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A Yes vote will only come in 2014 if our supporters can persuade the people they know that it is fundamentally better for all of us if decisions about Scotland’s future are taken by the people who care most about Scotland - the people of Scotland.